Wednesday, June 12, 2024

Hallelujah!

Nate Silver's record as a political prognosticator is unblemished. In national elections from 2008 through 2020 (but excluding 2016), Nate and his site FiveThirtyEight.com have correctly predicted the great majority of all state and federal contests.

That's why the hallelujah. Nate just published the first forecast of the 2024 Presidential face-off. Across a set of 1000 simulated competitions, Joe Biden won 520.

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